
Inflation at 3.8%, a Summit in Beijing, and a Ceasefire on Life Support
US inflation hits a three-year high. Trump holds Taiwan arms sales as a bargaining chip. And the Hormuz question got more complicated before it got simpler.

US inflation hits a three-year high. Trump holds Taiwan arms sales as a bargaining chip. And the Hormuz question got more complicated before it got simpler.

$5.5 billion raised. Shares up 68% on the first day. A company now worth $70 billion.

Oil swung 15% in a single session. Samsung hit $1 trillion. Japan intervened in currency markets, again.
Revenue at $45 billion and climbing. A $50 billion raise is in the works. And a valuation that would put it ahead of OpenAI for the first time.

Big Tech's free cash flow is falling to a decade low. Debt is being issued at a record pace. Buybacks have been paused. What this means in the capital cycle.

Rivals in the model race. Partners in the compute market. The lines in frontier AI are blurring fast.
PDFAnthropic: the rising alternative to OpenAI

The Fed held rates in a dramatic split vote. Oil surged past $125 on Hormuz fears. Big Tech delivered, but not all of it was rewarded. Here is what this week is telling us.
PDFA contrarian view to Tesla
Long-form thinking: memos, decks, and theses.
Weekly notes on equities, rates, and what moved them.
M&A, IPOs, and capital flows worth watching.
Deeper looks at the companies, sectors, and stories behind the numbers.
A contrarian view to Tesla
US inflation hits a three-year high. Trump holds Taiwan arms sales as a bargaining chip. And the Hormuz question got more complicated before it got simpler.
Revenue at $45 billion and climbing. A $50 billion raise is in the works. And a valuation that would put it ahead of OpenAI for the first time.
The S&P 500 is up 10% in April. The Nasdaq is up 15%. Oil is above $125. Consumer spending is slowing. And tech is carrying the entire thing. This is not your typical bull market.